Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 81.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 64.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 51.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Last 5: Roslovic 3-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Roslovic
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
49.7% (292)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
50.0% (6)
+7.9%
On power play, Roslovic has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Roslovic is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Roslovic shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (121)
48.7% (193)
Away
56.4% (117)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Roslovic
Bjugstad
P1
52.2%
41.5%
P2
56.6%
57.3%
P3
50.6%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |