Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 69.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
0
Roslovic
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Roslovic
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Roslovic
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
48.6% (6,646)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
55.2% (829)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
44.3% (614)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Bjugstad
Home
44.0% (1,739)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Roslovic
Bjugstad
P1
45.5%
48.9%
P2
44.9%
49.1%
P3
44.8%
48.5%
OT
31.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |