Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Paul 53.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 60.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Roslovic
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Roslovic
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
53.7% (354)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
59.0% (61)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
49.6% (121)
55.1% (216)
Away
56.4% (117)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
52.2%
54.9%
P2
56.6%
54.5%
P3
50.6%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |