Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 68.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 81.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Roslovic
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Roslovic
Paul
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
8
0
Roslovic
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
7
Roslovic
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roslovic
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
52.6% (3,823)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
56.2% (484)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.9% (576)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Paul
Home
44.0% (1,739)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Roslovic
Paul
P1
45.5%
53.8%
P2
44.9%
51.0%
P3
44.8%
52.2%
OT
31.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |