Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 46.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Roslovic
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
55.0% (1,084)
-10.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
56.8% (303)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
40.3% (149)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Roslovic is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Roslovic shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Home
36.9% (65)
54.8% (759)
Away
49.2% (61)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Roslovic
O'Reilly
P1
32.1%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
46.2%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
42.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.9%