Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 83.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Last 10: Roslovic 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
1
Roslovic
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
8
Roslovic
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
56.2% (15,290)
-11.2%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
58.7% (3,457)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
51.4% (2,826)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Home
44.0% (1,739)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Roslovic
O'Reilly
P1
45.5%
55.6%
P2
44.9%
57.0%
P3
44.8%
55.0%
OT
31.8%
62.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |