Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 53.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 69.9%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 51.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Roslovic
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roslovic
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
49.3% (670)
+5.9%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
53.7% (121)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roslovic is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Roslovic shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stamkos
Home
54.0% (200)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.2% (155)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Roslovic
Stamkos
P1
57.0%
48.6%
P2
54.3%
54.5%
P3
50.9%
45.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |