Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 51.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Roslovic
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roslovic
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
57.1% (368)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
55.2% (96)
+2.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roslovic is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Roslovic shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stamkos
Home
49.6% (121)
53.9% (230)
Away
56.4% (117)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Roslovic
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
56.7%
P2
56.6%
54.1%
P3
50.6%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |