Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 73.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 74.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 75.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Roslovic
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Roslovic
Hertl
Last 9: Roslovic 2-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Roslovic
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Roslovic
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
54.1% (1,117)
-8.3%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
59.8% (296)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
34.4% (32)
+3.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Hertl
Home
45.4% (447)
54.3% (709)
Away
44.6% (442)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Roslovic
Hertl
P1
43.2%
51.6%
P2
44.7%
53.6%
P3
47.2%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
52.0%▬
51.0%
45.0%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |