Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 77.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 77.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Roslovic
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roslovic
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Roslovic
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
47.2% (687)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
45.0% (20)
+12.9%
On power play, Roslovic has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Roslovic shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Gourde
Home
49.6% (121)
44.4% (356)
Away
56.4% (117)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Roslovic
Gourde
P1
52.2%
42.2%
P2
56.6%
50.0%
P3
50.6%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |