Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 64.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 77.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 69.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Roslovic
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
14
(35 meetings)
21
14
Roslovic
Gourde
Last 10: Roslovic 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
9
4
Roslovic
Gourde
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
7
Roslovic
Gourde
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
9
3
Roslovic
Gourde
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
48.4% (4,987)
-3.4%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
57.4% (376)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
40.0% (555)
-5.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Gourde
Home
44.0% (1,739)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Roslovic
Gourde
P1
45.5%
49.8%
P2
44.9%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
47.5%
OT
31.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |