Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 63.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 54.4% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 69.2%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 62.1%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.8%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Schwartz
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (59)
51.7% (346)
-5.9%
Power Play
64.4% (101)
58.5% (164)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Rantanen has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Schwartz is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Schwartz shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Rantanen
Home
61.0% (82)
55.8% (258)
Away
53.2% (79)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Schwartz
Rantanen
P1
58.6%
50.0%
P2
46.8%
56.6%
P3
64.2%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
64.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
57.1%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%