Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Rantanen 49.7% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 51.6%
Defensive zone
Rantanen 55.7%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 51.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Schwartz
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
48.9% (47)
+11.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
50.0% (22)
+3.3%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Rantanen
Home
71.4% (21)
48.4% (31)
Away
50.0% (32)
50.0% (38)
By Period
Schwartz
Rantanen
P1
60.9%
50.0%
P2
69.2%
30.0%
P3
47.1%
72.2%
Final 5 min
76.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%