Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Ek 49.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 58.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 71.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Evans
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Evans
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
48.1% (858)
+7.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
53.3% (272)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
47.9% (188)
+7.3%
On power play, Evans has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Evans
Ek
Home
54.7% (402)
49.9% (693)
Away
56.9% (341)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Evans
Ek
P1
57.9%
47.4%
P2
55.2%
53.1%
P3
53.6%
46.3%
OT
66.7%
54.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |