Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Ek 47.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 84.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 65.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Evans
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Evans
Ek
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
10
Evans
Ek
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
6
2
Evans
Ek
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
3
4
Evans
Ek
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
47.5% (6,717)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.1% (1,500)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
40.3% (1,176)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Home / Away
Evans
Ek
Home
53.3% (2,621)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
47.0% (4,749)
By Period
Evans
Ek
P1
54.0%
46.8%
P2
50.9%
49.5%
P3
52.0%
46.7%
OT
46.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 02:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |