Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Evans
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Evans
Staal
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
14
Evans
Staal
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
10
3
Evans
Staal
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
10
8
Evans
Staal
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
55.9% (14,654)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
62.7% (1,762)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
47.9% (2,907)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Evans
Staal
Home
53.3% (2,621)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Evans
Staal
P1
54.0%
55.2%
P2
50.9%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
54.8%
OT
46.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |