Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Eller 50.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 54.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Evans
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Evans
Eller
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
7
1
Evans
Eller
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
10
2
Evans
Eller
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
7
Evans
Eller
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
51.1% (10,321)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.8% (621)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
46.6% (1,759)
+0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Evans
Eller
Home
53.3% (2,621)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Evans
Eller
P1
54.0%
51.2%
P2
50.9%
50.1%
P3
52.0%
50.2%
OT
46.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |