Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Evans
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Evans
Scheifele
Last 10: Evans 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
11
Evans
Scheifele
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
8
2
Evans
Scheifele
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
2
Evans
Scheifele
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
46.3% (12,077)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.2% (2,576)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
41.6% (598)
+5.5%
On power play, Evans has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Home / Away
Evans
Scheifele
Home
53.3% (2,621)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Evans
Scheifele
P1
54.0%
48.2%
P2
50.9%
45.6%
P3
52.0%
46.8%
OT
46.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |