Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Domi 48.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 82.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Evans
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Evans
Domi
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Evans
Domi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Domi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
4
Evans
Domi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
48.1% (4,339)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.5% (636)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
48.8% (41)
-1.7%
On power play, Evans has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Home / Away
Evans
Domi
Home
53.3% (2,621)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Evans
Domi
P1
54.0%
48.7%
P2
50.9%
48.3%
P3
52.0%
49.7%
OT
46.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Max Domi |