Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Granlund 49.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 76.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Evans
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
49.7% (493)
+5.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.6% (111)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
31.1% (61)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
54.7% (402)
54.7% (276)
Away
56.9% (341)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
57.9%
52.2%
P2
55.2%
49.3%
P3
53.6%
47.4%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |