Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Granlund 48.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 77.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Evans
Granlund
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Evans
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Granlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
48.6% (6,765)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.0% (760)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
43.6% (635)
+3.5%
On power play, Evans has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
53.3% (2,621)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
54.0%
48.8%
P2
50.9%
48.7%
P3
52.0%
48.5%
OT
46.5%
43.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |