Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Geekie 48.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 70.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Evans
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Evans
Geekie
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
6
Evans
Geekie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
7
0
Evans
Geekie
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
48.7% (2,310)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
46.0% (189)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
45.7% (129)
+1.4%
On power play, Evans has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Evans
Geekie
Home
53.3% (2,621)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Evans
Geekie
P1
54.0%
48.6%
P2
50.9%
48.9%
P3
52.0%
47.7%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |