Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.9% vs Geekie 48.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 72.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Evans
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Evans
Geekie
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
6
Evans
Geekie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
6
0
Evans
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (3,567)
48.7% (2,289)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
45.9% (183)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (1,179)
45.7% (129)
+1.1%
On power play, Evans has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Evans is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,251).
Evans shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (692).
Home / Away
Evans
Geekie
Home
53.2% (2,509)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
50.5% (2,307)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Evans
Geekie
P1
54.0%
48.4%
P2
50.5%
48.9%
P3
51.6%
47.5%
OT
42.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
51.9%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |