Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 65.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Evans
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
49.7% (292)
+5.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
50.0% (6)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
47.2% (36)
+8.0%
On power play, Evans has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
54.7% (402)
48.7% (193)
Away
56.9% (341)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
57.9%
41.5%
P2
55.2%
57.3%
P3
53.6%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%