Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 79.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 64.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Evans
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Evans
Bjugstad
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Evans
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Evans
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
48.6% (6,646)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.2% (829)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
44.3% (614)
+2.8%
On power play, Evans has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
53.3% (2,621)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
54.0%
48.9%
P2
50.9%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
48.5%
OT
46.5%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |