Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 57.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 59.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Evans
Sundqvist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
46.8% (301)
+8.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
80.0% (10)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
43.5% (85)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Evans shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Evans
Sundqvist
Home
54.7% (402)
46.0% (189)
Away
56.9% (341)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Evans
Sundqvist
P1
57.9%
44.7%
P2
55.2%
47.6%
P3
53.6%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%