Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 57.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 78.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Evans
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Evans
Sundqvist
Last 9: Evans 6-3 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Sundqvist
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
44.2% (2,842)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
51.0% (98)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
41.6% (385)
+5.5%
On power play, Evans has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Evans
Sundqvist
Home
53.3% (2,621)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Evans
Sundqvist
P1
54.0%
42.8%
P2
50.9%
45.6%
P3
52.0%
43.7%
OT
46.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jake Evans |