Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Zacha 46.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 92.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 74.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Evans
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Evans
Zacha
Last 7: Evans 1-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Evans
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Evans
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Evans
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
45.3% (247)
+9.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
58.1% (31)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
22.2% (18)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Evans
Zacha
Home
49.4% (336)
39.7% (131)
Away
54.8% (314)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Evans
Zacha
P1
55.8%
42.9%
P2
51.7%
46.4%
P3
48.2%
42.3%
OT
100.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |