Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Holmberg 45.4% (+19.2%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 72.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Evans
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
36.7% (49)
+18.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
0.0% (1)
+72.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
50.0% (2)
+5.2%
On power play, Evans has a +72.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
54.7% (402)
33.3% (36)
Away
56.9% (341)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
57.9%
62.5%
P2
55.2%
20.0%
P3
53.6%
31.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
36.5%