Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Holmberg 46.0% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 70.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 89.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Evans
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Evans
Holmberg
Last 6: Evans 6-0 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Holmberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
45.3% (676)
+8.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.0% (22)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
45.9% (61)
+1.2%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
53.3% (2,621)
46.2% (422)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
54.0%
53.1%
P2
50.9%
40.9%
P3
52.0%
42.3%
OT
46.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |