Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Greig 51.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 53.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 72.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Evans
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
51.9% (347)
+3.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
66.7% (24)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
44.8% (87)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Evans
Greig
Home
54.7% (402)
50.4% (254)
Away
56.9% (341)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Evans
Greig
P1
57.9%
45.9%
P2
55.2%
60.1%
P3
53.6%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |