Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Greig 49.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 69.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 51.3%
Neutral zone
Greig 56.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Evans
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Evans
Greig
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Evans
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
4
Evans
Greig
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
4
Evans
Greig
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
48.7% (1,144)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
56.8% (74)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
47.2% (178)
-0.1%
On even strength, Evans has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Evans
Greig
Home
53.3% (2,621)
49.9% (688)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Evans
Greig
P1
54.0%
46.0%
P2
50.9%
51.8%
P3
52.0%
49.1%
OT
46.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |