Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Donato 47.1% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 54.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 82.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Evans
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
46.8% (297)
+8.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
41.0% (39)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
100.0% (1)
-44.8%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Evans
Donato
Home
54.7% (402)
45.8% (142)
Away
56.9% (341)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Evans
Donato
P1
57.9%
49.5%
P2
55.2%
45.7%
P3
53.6%
43.4%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |