Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Donato 44.7% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 58.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 98.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 94.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Evans
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Evans
Donato
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Evans
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
9
1
Evans
Donato
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
44.0% (1,218)
+9.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
46.0% (248)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
41.7% (12)
+5.4%
On power play, Evans has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Evans
Donato
Home
53.3% (2,621)
47.2% (743)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Evans
Donato
P1
54.0%
43.8%
P2
50.9%
44.9%
P3
52.0%
43.7%
OT
46.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |