Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Greene 43.9% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 63.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 85.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Evans
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Evans
Greene
Last 5: Evans 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
43.6% (512)
+12.0%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
46.8% (62)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
40.1% (167)
+15.1%
On power play, Evans has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Evans shoots right. Greene is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Evans
Greene
Home
54.7% (402)
47.4% (382)
Away
56.9% (341)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Evans
Greene
P1
57.9%
46.8%
P2
55.2%
37.6%
P3
53.6%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |