Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Greene 43.7% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Evans
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Greene
Last 5: Evans 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Evans
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
43.2% (530)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
46.8% (62)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
40.1% (167)
+7.0%
On power play, Evans has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Greene is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Evans
Greene
Home
53.3% (2,621)
47.4% (382)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Evans
Greene
P1
54.0%
46.1%
P2
50.9%
37.6%
P3
52.0%
45.2%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |