Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Strome 45.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 65.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 78.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Evans
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Evans
Strome
Last 8: Evans 5-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Evans
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
44.1% (749)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
46.2% (52)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
52.9% (17)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Evans
Strome
Home
52.1% (503)
45.1% (441)
Away
47.0% (423)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Evans
Strome
P1
50.5%
42.9%
P2
47.7%
44.4%
P3
51.3%
45.8%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |