Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 59.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 78.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Evans
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Evans
Strome
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Evans
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
2
Evans
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
44.2% (6,887)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
49.2% (855)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
41.5% (410)
+5.6%
On power play, Evans has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Evans
Strome
Home
53.3% (2,621)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Evans
Strome
P1
54.0%
43.9%
P2
50.9%
45.4%
P3
52.0%
44.4%
OT
46.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |