Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Pinto 51.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 68.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
50.5% (556)
+5.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
68.0% (25)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
51.1% (94)
+4.1%
On even strength, Evans has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
54.7% (402)
50.0% (310)
Away
56.9% (341)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
57.9%
51.8%
P2
55.2%
49.8%
P3
53.6%
53.1%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |