Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Pinto 50.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 57.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Evans
Pinto
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Evans
Pinto
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.7% (2,752)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.4% (90)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
45.6% (239)
+1.5%
On power play, Evans has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
53.3% (2,621)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
54.0%
48.4%
P2
50.9%
51.9%
P3
52.0%
50.9%
OT
46.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |