Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.1% vs Hischier 55.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 71.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 80.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
55.5% (1,172)
-6.4%
Power Play
44.9% (118)
64.5% (265)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
43.9% (164)
+2.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
50.2% (205)
56.8% (791)
Away
44.4% (169)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
47.6%
56.0%
P2
49.0%
58.6%
P3
46.2%
53.5%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |