Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 48.2% vs Hischier 54.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 73.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 74.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.8%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (116)
54.7% (887)
-2.1%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
66.5% (194)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
38.9% (108)
+4.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
53.2% (94)
56.6% (537)
Away
42.7% (117)
54.0% (652)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
53.7%
55.2%
P2
46.8%
57.2%
P3
44.3%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |