Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.5% vs Hischier 52.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 74.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 86.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Guentzel
Hischier
Last 10: Guentzel 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
5
3
Guentzel
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (601)
51.3% (8,159)
-4.7%
Power Play
45.6% (259)
60.0% (1,678)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
49.1% (862)
-7.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,847).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
49.2% (472)
52.8% (5,223)
Away
42.7% (422)
52.2% (5,476)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
49.2%
52.7%
P2
44.3%
52.2%
P3
45.4%
52.7%
OT
16.7%
50.6%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |