Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Hischier 52.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Guentzel 74.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 86.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.2%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Guentzel
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Guentzel
Hischier
Last 10: Guentzel 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
5
3
Guentzel
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Guentzel
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
51.6% (8,444)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
59.9% (1,749)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
49.3% (918)
-6.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Guentzel shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Hischier
Home
48.9% (583)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
43.2% (474)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Guentzel
Hischier
P1
48.0%
52.9%
P2
45.5%
52.6%
P3
46.0%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
43.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |