Jamie Benn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Pageau 56.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 80.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Benn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Benn
Pageau
Last 9: Benn 4-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Benn
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
58.8% (889)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
58.2% (182)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
48.6% (185)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Benn
Pageau
Home
64.4% (433)
59.0% (595)
Away
55.8% (432)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Benn
Pageau
P1
61.8%
58.9%
P2
59.6%
57.9%
P3
59.2%
55.6%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
62.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
60.1%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |