Jamie Benn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Pageau 59.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 77.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Benn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Benn
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Benn
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
59.4% (726)
-13.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
69.0% (42)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
59.7% (221)
-9.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Benn is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Benn shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Benn
Pageau
Home
48.8% (41)
58.4% (430)
Away
50.0% (46)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Benn
Pageau
P1
34.6%
55.4%
P2
66.7%
61.8%
P3
45.2%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |