Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Poehling 48.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 78.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 61.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Benn
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Benn
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Benn
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
50.4% (680)
-4.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
58.3% (12)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.8% (219)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Benn
Poehling
Home
48.8% (41)
47.4% (422)
Away
50.0% (46)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Benn
Poehling
P1
34.6%
53.3%
P2
66.7%
40.3%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |