Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Poehling 48.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 79.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Benn
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Benn
Poehling
Last 10: Benn 3-7 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
5
Benn
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,456)
49.6% (2,780)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.6% (2,055)
51.6% (93)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
41.7% (635)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Benn shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Benn
Poehling
Home
54.9% (4,550)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
51.0% (4,492)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Benn
Poehling
P1
51.9%
50.8%
P2
52.6%
47.1%
P3
54.0%
47.2%
OT
62.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |