Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.7% vs Hertl 57.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 70.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 75.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Benn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (67)
58.7% (858)
-12.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
55.8% (285)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Benn shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Benn
Hertl
Home
48.8% (41)
60.1% (599)
Away
50.0% (46)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Benn
Hertl
P1
34.6%
52.4%
P2
66.7%
63.9%
P3
45.2%
58.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |