Jason Dickinson vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 54-43 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 80.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
54
(97 meetings)
43
54
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
15
20
Dickinson
MacKinnon
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
11
16
Dickinson
MacKinnon
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
17
18
Dickinson
MacKinnon
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,390)
46.1% (11,264)
+2.9%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
53.2% (1,421)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (890)
42.8% (502)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dickinson is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,951).
Dickinson shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Home
49.3% (2,791)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
46.0% (2,630)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Dickinson
MacKinnon
P1
47.0%
47.4%
P2
48.2%
46.6%
P3
47.7%
46.1%
OT
52.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |