Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 70.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 51.5%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 57.4%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Dickinson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dickinson
Dowd
Last 6: Dickinson 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Dickinson
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
51.0% (671)
+0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
41.5% (224)
-2.4%
On power play, Dickinson has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Dowd
Home
48.7% (431)
48.2% (471)
Away
50.7% (404)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Dickinson
Dowd
P1
43.4%
48.3%
P2
54.9%
46.8%
P3
49.6%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
30.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |