Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 74.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Dickinson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Dickinson
Dowd
Last 10: Dickinson 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
0
Dickinson
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
7
Dickinson
Dowd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
4
Dickinson
Dowd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,390)
52.3% (6,036)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
56.1% (164)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (890)
44.1% (1,638)
-3.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Dickinson is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,951).
Dickinson shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Dowd
Home
49.3% (2,791)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
46.0% (2,630)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Dickinson
Dowd
P1
47.0%
51.5%
P2
48.2%
50.4%
P3
47.7%
50.3%
OT
52.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |