Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.8%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Last 6: Dickinson 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
49.4% (867)
-0.8%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
56.0% (25)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
40.7% (216)
+3.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Dickinson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Home
45.4% (368)
46.5% (480)
Away
49.9% (403)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Dickinson
Bjugstad
P1
49.2%
48.7%
P2
46.3%
45.6%
P3
48.1%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.7%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |